Saturday, March 6, 2010

The Fallacy of Unemployment

"The official unemployment rate grossly understates the actual number of people who, by all realistic measures, are unemployed. It’s very hard to come up with a reliable figure as it’s almost impossible to count all these people accurately. Estimates, however, range from 16% all the way to a gigantic 17.5% ! The Wall Street Journal reckons it’s at about 16.8%!"

"Realistically speaking we are looking at an unemployment rate of closer to 16.5% than the 9.7% we’ve been getting officially. Using my above calculations the situation is dire – around $600 billion in lost income and spending, closer to 5% of the economy."

The full post is available here.